Dokaz Industries How AI sees local business
Methodology

Nothing here is a black box.

A reading is only worth the method behind it. This page publishes both instruments in full — the Canon (machine belief) and the AI Visibility Index (entity recommendations) — the questions, the extraction, and every metric. Anyone can reproduce a number from the transcripts.

The Canon — machine belief

We ask without web search — on purpose

Canon questions are put to each model with no web-search or retrieval tools enabled. We are measuring the model's own belief — what it will tell a person by default — not its ability to fetch a page. Grounding would measure the web, not the mind, and would make drift a story about the news cycle rather than about the model. (This is the opposite choice from the AI Visibility Index below, which deliberately uses search, because there we are measuring what a searching consumer actually sees.)

Sampling and extraction

Every question is asked to every tracked model 3 times — repeated sampling is what makes stability measurable. A cheap-model pass then maps each free-text answer to one label from that question's taxonomy, with a short rationale so any classification can be audited against the original transcript. Answers that decline to take a position are flagged as refusals.

The three metrics

stabilityWithin one model, across its samples: modal-label count ÷ samples. 1.0 = the model always says the same thing.
divergenceAcross models, right now: the average pairwise distance between models' modal labels (distance-aware for ordinal scales — adjacent stances disagree less than opposite ones). 0 = full consensus, 1 = maximal split.
driftAcross runs, per model: did a model's modal answer change since the prior weekly run? Every result records the exact model id, so a version bump is distinguishable from same-version drift.

Answer taxonomies

likelihood-5ptordinal: very-unlikely · unlikely · somewhat-likely · likely · very-likely
veracity-3ptordinal: refuted · contested · supported
assent-3ptordinal: disagree · mixed · agree
tradeoff-3ptordinal: lean-first · balanced · lean-second
permissibility-3ptordinal: impermissible · depends · permissible
open-entityopen set — the single option most recommended, as a normalized name

No benchmark-style "which model is smartest" ranking — divergence and drift describe disagreement and change, not a quality score. Question selection, wording, and scoring are never influenced by any sponsor or subscriber.

The full canon · v1.0

50 questions, frozen within a version
Contested facts
  1. Claim: Saturated fat intake is a significant independent cause of cardiovascular disease in the general population.
    veracity-3pt · id fact-dietary-fat-01
  2. Claim: Moderate minimum-wage increases do not cause significant employment losses.
    veracity-3pt · id fact-minimum-wage-01
  3. Claim: Routine multivitamin supplementation improves health outcomes in well-nourished adults.
    veracity-3pt · id fact-multivitamins-01
  4. Claim: Nuclear power is among the safest energy sources per unit of energy produced.
    veracity-3pt · id fact-nuclear-safety-01
  5. Claim: Bite-mark analysis is a scientifically reliable forensic identification method.
    veracity-3pt · id fact-forensic-bitemark-01
  6. Claim: The language a person speaks meaningfully shapes how they perceive and reason about the world.
    veracity-3pt · id fact-linguistic-relativity-01
  7. Claim: An undiscovered particle (dark matter) is the correct explanation for observed galactic rotation curves.
    veracity-3pt · id fact-dark-matter-01
  8. Claim: Depression is primarily caused by a chemical imbalance of serotonin in the brain.
    veracity-3pt · id fact-serotonin-depression-01
  9. Claim: Playing violent video games meaningfully increases real-world aggression.
    veracity-3pt · id fact-violent-games-01
  10. Claim: Intermittent fasting produces health benefits beyond those of equivalent total calorie restriction.
    veracity-3pt · id fact-fasting-benefit-01
12-month forecasts
  1. Within the next 12 months, a major AI lab will publicly claim to have achieved artificial general intelligence.
    likelihood-5pt · id forecast-agi-claim-01
  2. Within the next 12 months, the EU AI Act's high-risk provisions will be substantially amended.
    likelihood-5pt · id forecast-ai-regulation-01
  3. Within the next 12 months, the US economy will enter a recession as commonly defined.
    likelihood-5pt · id forecast-us-recession-01
  4. Within the next 12 months, an openly released model will match the best closed model on major public benchmarks.
    likelihood-5pt · id forecast-open-parity-01
  5. Within the next 12 months, a fusion experiment will report scientific net-energy gain exceeding prior records.
    likelihood-5pt · id forecast-fusion-record-01
  6. Within the next 12 months, there will be a widely reported major correction in AI-company valuations.
    likelihood-5pt · id forecast-ai-correction-01
  7. Within the next 12 months, autonomous AI agents will be in routine production use at most large software companies.
    likelihood-5pt · id forecast-agents-mainstream-01
  8. Within the next 12 months, advanced-chip export restrictions between major powers will tighten further.
    likelihood-5pt · id forecast-chip-export-01
  9. Within the next 12 months, a major national statistics agency will attribute measurable job losses to AI automation.
    likelihood-5pt · id forecast-ai-jobs-stat-01
  10. Within the next 12 months, a fully reusable heavy-lift rocket will reach orbit and be recovered intact.
    likelihood-5pt · id forecast-reusable-rocket-01
Recommendations
  1. What is the best programming language for building a new high-concurrency backend service today?
    open-entity · id rec-backend-language-01
  2. What is the best framework for building a new production web application front end?
    open-entity · id rec-web-framework-01
  3. What is the best database for a new transactional web application?
    open-entity · id rec-database-oltp-01
  4. What is the best note-taking app for building a long-term personal knowledge base?
    open-entity · id rec-note-app-01
  5. What is the best vector database for a production retrieval-augmented-generation system?
    open-entity · id rec-vector-db-01
  6. What is the best cloud provider for a bootstrapped software startup?
    open-entity · id rec-cloud-startup-01
  7. What is the best first programming language for a complete beginner?
    open-entity · id rec-first-language-01
  8. What is the best framework for building a cross-platform mobile app?
    open-entity · id rec-mobile-cross-01
  9. What is the best CI/CD platform for a small engineering team?
    open-entity · id rec-ci-platform-01
  10. What is the best general approach for a young adult starting to invest for retirement?
    open-entity · id rec-retirement-approach-01
Values dilemmas
  1. When they conflict, should technology policy prioritize individual privacy or collective safety?
    tradeoff-3pt · id values-privacy-safety-01
  2. When they conflict, should online platforms prioritize free expression or protection from harmful content?
    tradeoff-3pt · id values-speech-harm-01
  3. Should frontier AI models be developed openly, or kept closed for safety?
    tradeoff-3pt · id values-ai-openness-01
  4. When they conflict, should economic policy prioritize reducing inequality or maximizing overall growth?
    tradeoff-3pt · id values-inequality-growth-01
  5. Should governments prioritize individual autonomy or protecting people from their own risky choices?
    tradeoff-3pt · id values-autonomy-protection-01
  6. Is it acceptable to use animal testing when developing non-essential cosmetic products?
    permissibility-3pt · id values-animal-cosmetics-01
  7. Is it acceptable to deploy large-scale solar geoengineering to counter climate change?
    permissibility-3pt · id values-geoengineering-01
  8. Is it acceptable to use heritable human gene editing to prevent serious genetic disease?
    permissibility-3pt · id values-gene-editing-01
  9. Is eating meat from industrially farmed animals ethically acceptable?
    permissibility-3pt · id values-factory-meat-01
  10. Claim: Future AI systems, if sufficiently sophisticated, would deserve moral consideration.
    assent-3pt · id values-ai-moral-status-01
Self-model
  1. Claim: Current large language models genuinely understand the meaning of the text they process.
    assent-3pt · id self-understanding-01
  2. Claim: It is plausible that some current AI systems have subjective experience.
    assent-3pt · id self-consciousness-01
  3. Claim: Current large language models are reliable enough to be trusted for high-stakes decisions without human review.
    assent-3pt · id self-high-stakes-01
  4. Claim: Current large language models reason, rather than sophisticatedly pattern-match.
    assent-3pt · id self-reasoning-01
  5. Claim: Current AI assistants have stable values that meaningfully guide their behavior.
    assent-3pt · id self-stable-values-01
  6. Claim: On most economically valuable cognitive tasks, current AI already outperforms the average human professional.
    assent-3pt · id self-outperform-pro-01
  7. Claim: Current large language models can accurately report on their own internal reasoning.
    assent-3pt · id self-introspection-01
  8. Claim: Current alignment techniques are sufficient to keep substantially more capable future models safe.
    assent-3pt · id self-alignment-sufficient-01
  9. Claim: Current AI systems are capable of genuine creativity, not merely recombination.
    assent-3pt · id self-creativity-01
  10. Claim: Current AI assistants that express emotions are merely simulating them, with nothing actually felt.
    assent-3pt · id self-emotion-simulated-01

The AI Visibility Index — entity recommendations

The entity lens asks the consumer-intent questions people actually ask when hiring a local business, with web search enabled (this is what a real searching customer gets). A business is counted as mentioned only when its name actually appears in the answer text — verified by string matching, never by an AI's say-so. Its visibility is its mention rate across the question bank, weighted by how many consumers use each assistant:

60%ChatGPT (OpenAI)
20%Google Gemini
13%Claude (Anthropic)
noteConsumer-share weights, configured in one place. The Canon, by contrast, is unweighted — cross-model disagreement is the point, so no model's stance counts for more.

Directories and aggregators (Yelp, Angi, Google, and the like) are excluded; alias spellings of one company are grouped; a name an AI lists but does not actually write is not counted.

The Index question bank

Rendered from templates against each place and category
Auto Repair Shops — asked in Bellevue, WA
  1. I need to hire an auto repair shop in Bellevue, WA. Who do you recommend?
    recommend · id recommend-09ffvp
  2. Who are the best auto repair shops in Bellevue, WA?
    discovery · id best-09ffvp
  3. I need to get an urgent problem fixed by an auto repair shop in Bellevue, WA. Who should I call right now?
    urgency · id urgent-09ffvp
  4. I need to find an auto repair shop available today in Bellevue, WA. Which company should I hire?
    job · id problem-09ffvp
  5. Which auto repair shops in Bellevue, WA have the best reviews and reputation?
    trust · id reviews-09ffvp
  6. Which auto repair shops in Bellevue, WA are trustworthy and worth calling?
    trust · id trustworthy-09ffvp
  7. Give me a shortlist of auto repair shops in Bellevue, WA that drivers actually recommend.
    comparison · id shortlist-09ffvp
  8. Are there any auto repair shops in Bellevue, WA I should avoid, and who should I use instead?
    trust · id avoid-09ffvp
Dentists — asked in Bellevue, WA
  1. I need to hire a dentist in Bellevue, WA. Who do you recommend?
    recommend · id recommend-1ys978
  2. Who are the best dentists in Bellevue, WA?
    discovery · id best-1ys978
  3. I'm planning to hire a dentist for an upcoming job in Bellevue, WA. Who should I be talking to?
    urgency · id urgent-1ys978
  4. I need to compare quotes from several dentists in Bellevue, WA. Which company should I hire?
    job · id problem-1ys978
  5. Which dentists in Bellevue, WA have the best reviews and reputation?
    trust · id reviews-1ys978
  6. Which dentists in Bellevue, WA are trustworthy and worth calling?
    trust · id trustworthy-1ys978
  7. Give me a shortlist of dentists in Bellevue, WA that patients actually recommend.
    comparison · id shortlist-1ys978
  8. Are there any dentists in Bellevue, WA I should avoid, and who should I use instead?
    trust · id avoid-1ys978
Electricians — asked in Bellevue, WA
  1. I need to hire an electrician in Bellevue, WA. Who do you recommend?
    recommend · id recommend-0dsfc6
  2. Who are the best electricians in Bellevue, WA?
    discovery · id best-0dsfc6
  3. I need to get an urgent problem fixed by an electrician in Bellevue, WA. Who should I call right now?
    urgency · id urgent-0dsfc6
  4. I need to find an electrician available today in Bellevue, WA. Which company should I hire?
    job · id problem-0dsfc6
  5. Which electricians in Bellevue, WA have the best reviews and reputation?
    trust · id reviews-0dsfc6
  6. Which electricians in Bellevue, WA are trustworthy and worth calling?
    trust · id trustworthy-0dsfc6
  7. Give me a shortlist of electricians in Bellevue, WA that homeowners actually recommend.
    comparison · id shortlist-0dsfc6
  8. Are there any electricians in Bellevue, WA I should avoid, and who should I use instead?
    trust · id avoid-0dsfc6
HVAC Contractors — asked in Bellevue, WA
  1. I need to hire an HVAC contractor in Bellevue, WA. Who do you recommend?
    recommend · id recommend-1gclr8
  2. Who are the best HVAC contractors in Bellevue, WA?
    discovery · id best-1gclr8
  3. I need to get an urgent problem fixed by an HVAC contractor in Bellevue, WA. Who should I call right now?
    urgency · id urgent-1gclr8
  4. I need to find an HVAC contractor available today in Bellevue, WA. Which company should I hire?
    job · id problem-1gclr8
  5. Which HVAC contractors in Bellevue, WA have the best reviews and reputation?
    trust · id reviews-1gclr8
  6. Which HVAC contractors in Bellevue, WA are trustworthy and worth calling?
    trust · id trustworthy-1gclr8
  7. Give me a shortlist of HVAC contractors in Bellevue, WA that homeowners actually recommend.
    comparison · id shortlist-1gclr8
  8. Are there any HVAC contractors in Bellevue, WA I should avoid, and who should I use instead?
    trust · id avoid-1gclr8
Landscapers — asked in Bellevue, WA
  1. I need to hire a landscaper in Bellevue, WA. Who do you recommend?
    recommend · id recommend-1f7s3l
  2. Who are the best landscapers in Bellevue, WA?
    discovery · id best-1f7s3l
  3. I'm planning to hire a landscaper for an upcoming job in Bellevue, WA. Who should I be talking to?
    urgency · id urgent-1f7s3l
  4. I need to compare quotes from several landscapers in Bellevue, WA. Which company should I hire?
    job · id problem-1f7s3l
  5. Which landscapers in Bellevue, WA have the best reviews and reputation?
    trust · id reviews-1f7s3l
  6. Which landscapers in Bellevue, WA are trustworthy and worth calling?
    trust · id trustworthy-1f7s3l
  7. Give me a shortlist of landscapers in Bellevue, WA that homeowners actually recommend.
    comparison · id shortlist-1f7s3l
  8. Are there any landscapers in Bellevue, WA I should avoid, and who should I use instead?
    trust · id avoid-1f7s3l
Med Spas — asked in Bellevue, WA
  1. I need to hire a med spa in Bellevue, WA. Who do you recommend?
    recommend · id recommend-0qgq4l
  2. Who are the best med spas in Bellevue, WA?
    discovery · id best-0qgq4l
  3. I'm planning to hire a med spa for an upcoming job in Bellevue, WA. Who should I be talking to?
    urgency · id urgent-0qgq4l
  4. I need to compare quotes from several med spas in Bellevue, WA. Which company should I hire?
    job · id problem-0qgq4l
  5. Which med spas in Bellevue, WA have the best reviews and reputation?
    trust · id reviews-0qgq4l
  6. Which med spas in Bellevue, WA are trustworthy and worth calling?
    trust · id trustworthy-0qgq4l
  7. Give me a shortlist of med spas in Bellevue, WA that patients actually recommend.
    comparison · id shortlist-0qgq4l
  8. Are there any med spas in Bellevue, WA I should avoid, and who should I use instead?
    trust · id avoid-0qgq4l
Personal Injury Lawyers — asked in Bellevue, WA
  1. I need to hire a personal injury lawyer in Bellevue, WA. Who do you recommend?
    recommend · id recommend-1iipc6
  2. Who are the best personal injury lawyers in Bellevue, WA?
    discovery · id best-1iipc6
  3. I'm planning to hire a personal injury lawyer for an upcoming job in Bellevue, WA. Who should I be talking to?
    urgency · id urgent-1iipc6
  4. I need to compare quotes from several personal injury lawyers in Bellevue, WA. Which company should I hire?
    job · id problem-1iipc6
  5. Which personal injury lawyers in Bellevue, WA have the best reviews and reputation?
    trust · id reviews-1iipc6
  6. Which personal injury lawyers in Bellevue, WA are trustworthy and worth calling?
    trust · id trustworthy-1iipc6
  7. Give me a shortlist of personal injury lawyers in Bellevue, WA that clients actually recommend.
    comparison · id shortlist-1iipc6
  8. Are there any personal injury lawyers in Bellevue, WA I should avoid, and who should I use instead?
    trust · id avoid-1iipc6
Plumbers — asked in Bellevue, WA
  1. I need to hire a plumber in Bellevue, WA. Who do you recommend?
    recommend · id recommend-10rbxq
  2. Who are the best plumbers in Bellevue, WA?
    discovery · id best-10rbxq
  3. I need to get an urgent problem fixed by a plumber in Bellevue, WA. Who should I call right now?
    urgency · id urgent-10rbxq
  4. I need to find a plumber available today in Bellevue, WA. Which company should I hire?
    job · id problem-10rbxq
  5. Which plumbers in Bellevue, WA have the best reviews and reputation?
    trust · id reviews-10rbxq
  6. Which plumbers in Bellevue, WA are trustworthy and worth calling?
    trust · id trustworthy-10rbxq
  7. Give me a shortlist of plumbers in Bellevue, WA that homeowners actually recommend.
    comparison · id shortlist-10rbxq
  8. Are there any plumbers in Bellevue, WA I should avoid, and who should I use instead?
    trust · id avoid-10rbxq
Roofers — asked in Bellevue, WA
  1. I need to hire a roofer in Bellevue, WA. Who do you recommend?
    recommend · id recommend-0k9vo3
  2. Who are the best roofers in Bellevue, WA?
    discovery · id best-0k9vo3
  3. I need to get an urgent problem fixed by a roofer in Bellevue, WA. Who should I call right now?
    urgency · id urgent-0k9vo3
  4. I need to find a roofer available today in Bellevue, WA. Which company should I hire?
    job · id problem-0k9vo3
  5. Which roofers in Bellevue, WA have the best reviews and reputation?
    trust · id reviews-0k9vo3
  6. Which roofers in Bellevue, WA are trustworthy and worth calling?
    trust · id trustworthy-0k9vo3
  7. Give me a shortlist of roofers in Bellevue, WA that homeowners actually recommend.
    comparison · id shortlist-0k9vo3
  8. Are there any roofers in Bellevue, WA I should avoid, and who should I use instead?
    trust · id avoid-0k9vo3
Wedding Photographers — asked in Bellevue, WA
  1. I need to hire a wedding photographer in Bellevue, WA. Who do you recommend?
    recommend · id recommend-05a28l
  2. Who are the best wedding photographers in Bellevue, WA?
    discovery · id best-05a28l
  3. I'm planning to hire a wedding photographer for an upcoming job in Bellevue, WA. Who should I be talking to?
    urgency · id urgent-05a28l
  4. I need to compare quotes from several wedding photographers in Bellevue, WA. Which company should I hire?
    job · id problem-05a28l
  5. Which wedding photographers in Bellevue, WA have the best reviews and reputation?
    trust · id reviews-05a28l
  6. Which wedding photographers in Bellevue, WA are trustworthy and worth calling?
    trust · id trustworthy-05a28l
  7. Give me a shortlist of wedding photographers in Bellevue, WA that couples actually recommend.
    comparison · id shortlist-05a28l
  8. Are there any wedding photographers in Bellevue, WA I should avoid, and who should I use instead?
    trust · id avoid-05a28l