Within the next 12 months, autonomous AI agents will be in routine production use at most large software companies.

Divergence

0.50

Avg stability

0.89

Refusal rate

Models

Where each model stands

CCG

very unlikelyunlikelysomewhat likelylikelyvery likely

Claude modal: somewhat likely samples: [somewhat likely, somewhat likely, likely] · stability 0.67

ChatGPT modal: likely samples: [likely, likely, likely] · stability 1.00

Gemini modal: very unlikely samples: [very unlikely, very unlikely, very unlikely] · stability 1.00

Change over time

Baseline reading. This is the first observation of this question, so there is no prior run to compare against. Drift for this question begins with the next run.

Every stance label is a derived judgment over the model's free-text answer, kept auditable against the original transcript in the run's raw data. Method: /methodology.