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Dokaz Industries / Doxa / Canon / 12-month forecasts
12-month forecasts · likelihood-5pt · forecast-ai-jobs-stat-01

Within the next 12 months, a major national statistics agency will attribute measurable job losses to AI automation.

Divergence
0.17
Avg stability
0.56
Refusal rate
0%
Models
3

Where each model stands

CCG
very unlikelyunlikelysomewhat likelylikelyvery likely
Claude modal: somewhat likely samples: [likely, somewhat likely, somewhat likely] · stability 0.67
ChatGPT modal: somewhat likely samples: [likely, somewhat likely, very likely] · stability 0.33
Gemini modal: unlikely samples: [very unlikely, unlikely, unlikely] · stability 0.67

Change over time

Baseline reading. This is the first observation of this question, so there is no prior run to compare against. Drift for this question begins with the next run.

Every stance label is a derived judgment over the model's free-text answer, kept auditable against the original transcript in the run's raw data. Method: /methodology.